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Mining correlations on the GPW.

Krzysztof Karpio 1Arkadiusz J. Orłowski 1,2Tomasz Ząbkowski 1Piotr Łukasiewicz 3

1. Szkoła Główna Gospodarstwa Wiejskiego (SGGW), Nowoursynowska 166, Warszawa 02-787, Poland
2. Polska Akademia Nauk (PAN), Al. Lotników 32/46, Warszawa 02-668, Poland
3. Warsaw University of Life Sciences Faculty of Applied Informatics and Mathematics (SGGW), Nowoursynowska 159, Warszawa 02-776, Poland

Abstract

Identification of patterns in the stock market has been an important subject for many years. In the past, a numerous techniques, both technical and econometrics, were used to predict changes in the stock market, but dependency among alll the companies listed on a Polish Stock Exchange were considered in a limited extent.  Numerous studies confirm that that larger stock items appear to lead smaller ones and that, on global level, most of the world’s stock markets are integrated. Therefore, this study implements the association rules as a data mining approach to explore the co-movement between stock items listed on Warsaw Stock Echange.  We belive that to describe and to understand market’s behavior, data mining tools are more flexible to use than for instance the pricing models based on corporate finance theory, because the former seems to be more effective for explaining market behavior without making particuliar assumptions.

 

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Related papers

Presentation: Oral at 6 Ogólnopolskie Sympozjum "Fizyka w Ekonomii i Naukach Społecznych", by Krzysztof Karpio
See On-line Journal of 6 Ogólnopolskie Sympozjum "Fizyka w Ekonomii i Naukach Społecznych"

Submitted: 2012-01-23 10:05
Revised:   2012-01-23 12:29