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Application of migration matrices to risk evaluation and their effect on portfolio value

Urszula Grzybowska ,  Marek J. Karwanski 

Szkoła Główna Gospodarstwa Wiejskiego (SGGW), Nowoursynowska 166, Warszawa 02-787, Poland

Abstract

Migration matrices are widely used in risk management. In credit risk management a loan is assigned to one of a few rating categories and the probability of future rating is determined by a migration matrix. Portfolio’s value depends on the rating and on market states. To find an optimal portfolio one should consider migration matrices and the dynamics of market changes. On an exemplary portfolio we will show that differences in migration matrices that result both from the state of economy as well as the estimation method effect considerably the VaR figures

 

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Related papers

Presentation: Poster at Current Economic and Social Topics CEST2013, Symposium on Financial Market Analysis, by Urszula Grzybowska
See On-line Journal of Current Economic and Social Topics CEST2013

Submitted: 2013-04-24 21:52
Revised:   2013-05-06 13:42