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Probabilistic Properties of the Continuous Double Auction |
Martin Smid |
Czech Academy of Sciences, Institute of Information Theory and Automation (UTIA), Pod Vodárenskou věží 4, Prague 18208, Czech Republic |
Abstract |
We formulate a general model of the continuous double auction, covering the models of Maslov [2000], Luckock [2003], Smith at al. [2003] and (partially) the the model of Mike et. al. [2008]. We analytically describe the distribution of the best quotes and the (conditional) distribution of the order books. Based on these results, we suggest a technique of a statistical inference of the order books and a procedure allowing a Monte Carlo simulation of the modes, much more efficient then a crude simulation. Finally, we study the tails of the price increments: we find them generally fat-tailed but thin-tailed if the initial order book is large enough. |
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Presentation: Oral at International Conference on Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents 2008, by Martin SmidSee On-line Journal of International Conference on Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents 2008 Submitted: 2008-03-15 14:22 Revised: 2009-06-07 00:48 |