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Self Organised Criticality in an Accident and Emergency Department |
Geoff Rodgers 1, Alexander Hellervik , Bernard Kujawski , Terry Young |
1. Brunel University, Kingston Lane, Uxbridge UB83PH, United Kingdom |
Abstract |
We present an analysis of one years' worth of empirical data on the arrival and discharge times at a UK Accident and Emergency (A&E) department. We find that discharges rates vary slightly with the workload and that the distribution of the length of stay has a fat tail. A sand pile model is considered to show that the A&E department is a self-organised system, where the department stuff manage their work time to cope with the department's occupancy. We use in our model a variable input space to mimic the queuing discipline related to different cases of accidents found in the department. The input space is defined by two parameters; its size sxs and the distance m from two nearest edges. We show for the length of stay distribution the transition from power law to Poissonian like curve while s or m are increased from s=1 and m=0. |
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Presentation: Oral at International Conference on Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents 2008, by Geoff RodgersSee On-line Journal of International Conference on Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents 2008 Submitted: 2008-03-14 13:22 Revised: 2009-06-07 00:48 |