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Truly Keynesian business fluctuations in an agent-based computational model

Giulia Canzian ,  Edoardo Gaffeo 

University of Trento, Trento 38100, Italy

Abstract

This paper presents a simple agent-based computational laboratory aimed at testing the verbal insights on business cycles contained in the well-known Chapter 22 of Keynes’ General Theory. Our analysis departs from the construction of a very simple IS-LM framework, in which a population of heterogeneous and autonomous agents take investment decisions by forming expectations on the relationship between the money market interest rate and the marginal efficiency of capital. Simulation results demonstrate that our model is able to recreate economic fluctuations at business cycle frequencies, opening the way to interesting policy implications.

 

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Presentation: Oral at International Conference on Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents 2008, by Giulia Canzian
See On-line Journal of International Conference on Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents 2008

Submitted: 2008-04-05 14:54
Revised:   2009-06-07 00:48